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	<title>Kurt Jarchow&#039;s Blog &#187; zuckerberg</title>
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	<link>http://www.kurtjarchow.com</link>
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		<title>Facebook Prediction</title>
		<link>http://www.kurtjarchow.com/2008/11/08/facebook-prediction/</link>
		<comments>http://www.kurtjarchow.com/2008/11/08/facebook-prediction/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 08 Nov 2008 22:03:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kurt Jarchow</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zuckerberg]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jarchowk.wordpress.com/?p=40</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In an aside to my last post let&#8217;s make some wild Facebook predictions.  In a way Mark has let us know his game plan.  Let&#8217;s look at what facebook would need to do to keep up Zuckerberg&#8217;s Second law:

Twitter-like micro blogging
Inter-site data sharing (most likely through facebook apps)
A more effective way to absorb all the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In an aside to my <a title="Zuckerber's Second Law" href="http://jarchowk.wordpress.com/2008/11/08/zuckerbergs-second-law/">last post</a> let&#8217;s make some wild Facebook predictions.  In a way Mark has let us know his game plan.  Let&#8217;s look at what facebook would need to do to keep up Zuckerberg&#8217;s Second law:</p>
<ul>
<li>Twitter-like micro blogging</li>
<li>Inter-site data sharing (most likely through facebook apps)</li>
<li>A more effective way to absorb all the new data</li>
</ul>
<p>Looking at Mark&#8217;s past, knowing his ambitious nature, I wouldn&#8217;t put it past him if he&#8217;s thinking of making Facebook into an operating system.  I think the industry is coming to the point where niche operating systems could be successful.  Ladies and gentlemen, an introduction to the first social-based operating system.</p>
<p>fPhone?  &#8230;maybe I should stay out of marketing.</p>
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		<title>Zuckerberg&#039;s Second Law?</title>
		<link>http://www.kurtjarchow.com/2008/11/08/zuckerbergs-second-law/</link>
		<comments>http://www.kurtjarchow.com/2008/11/08/zuckerbergs-second-law/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 08 Nov 2008 21:58:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kurt Jarchow</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zuckerberg]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jarchowk.wordpress.com/?p=38</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I just followed a techmeme link to Nicholas Carr&#8217;s blog mentioning more ramblings from Mark Zuckerberg.  He quotes him saying, &#8220;I would expect that next year, people will share twice as much information as they share this year, and [the] next year, they will be sharing twice as much as they did the year before&#8221;, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I just followed a techmeme link to <a title="Zuckerber's Second Law" href="http://www.roughtype.com/archives/2008/11/zuckerbergs_sec.php">Nicholas Carr&#8217;s blog</a> mentioning more ramblings from Mark Zuckerberg.  He quotes him saying, &#8220;I would expect that next year, people will share twice as much information as they share this year, and [the] next year, they will be sharing twice as much as they did the year before&#8221;, which seems like a lame attempt to immortalize himself like <a title="Moore's Law" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_law">Moore</a>.</p>
<p>Setting aside the dramatics of his statement (and not taking the prediction too literally), is he right?  How much more information are people willing to share?  Well obviously unlike transistors in a circuit, each person varies significantly in the amount of information they will share.  The more outgoing people who need to put out all the information as possible, and the shut-ins will keep everything to themselves.  But&#8230; even the most exclusive of shut-ins I will bet have at least 1 thing on the internet; next year will they have 2?</p>
<p>Note: My wife just leaned over, bravely battling a cold, to change her Facebook status to &#8220;&#8230; is sick.&#8221;  A very fitting interruption to say the least.</p>
<p>I was initially going to try and fight this bold prediction, but I have a feeling it might be spot on.</p>
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